Updated Presidential rankings – 2022 edition

President Biden has turned his presidency around, I need to update this.

Ranking of American Presidents

I am only ranking Presidents who have served for at least 365 days.
  1. Lyndon Baines Johnson is ranked as the greatest president in history because of his efforts in combating poverty, his willingness to lead the country with his bully pulpit, he created Medicare, Medicaid, and the Peace Corps. The Higher Education Act of 1965 continues to expand access to college for tens of millions of Americans a year, and to top it all of he signed 3 separate civil rights acts. Just one of these laws I am mentioning would easily earn him the top spot on his list individually. He did all of them. His Great Society lifted millions out of poverty and fundamentally shifted the social contract of the United States, making us the most powerful country in the world. No other president comes close to his astonishing human rights record. Vietnam escalated under his presidency but he did everything in his power to end the conflict despite Richard Nixon undermining his negotiation efforts. I do not rank presidents lower for factors out of their control. He had the ability to get people to do what had to be done. His biggest blunder was not letting Americans know that Nixon was committing treason. He always respected human rights.
  2. Abraham Lincoln – for his effort in keeping the United States together and the Emancipation Proclamation. He respected the constitution with the suspension of Habeas Corpus. He didn’t free slaves in the North which makes him rank lower than LBJ.
  3. Franklin Delano Roosevelt – For his efforts and success in setting a strong foundation for the 20th-century economy. Banking regulation kept the economy relatively stable for half a century until it was repealed, especially compared to before his Presidency. He created the WPA. The massive expansion of electricity to millions of households. He fought Nazis. He is demoted from first place because he was responsible for the incarceration of thousands of Japanese Americans.
  4. John Fitzgerald Kennedy – For his efforts towards science and combating poverty, and the second-best human rights record in our history after his successor, but blundering foreign policy escalated the cold war. He set the stage for LBJ’s legislative accomplishments.
  5. Barack Obama – The Affordable Care Act is his signature accomplishment. He ended the Iraq war, didn’t start new wars but didn’t lose any either, improved education, and environmental regulation, harming Social security benefits which bought OASI more time, passed historic financial regulation, and was the second most progressive social issues president in history, opened travel to Cuba, gay marriage, and campaigned for free community college.
  6. John Quincy Adams – For his economic wisdom, respect for Native Americans, establishing colleges, abolitionism, and expanding infrastructure. He was 100 years ahead of his time with the policies he signed into law.
  7. Benjamin Harrison – For his advocacy of civil rights, signing of important civil rights bills, and reformation of the civil service.
  8. Dwight David Eisenhower – For his diplomacy, protection of the economy, and prophetic farewell speech. He set in motion the careers of Nixon and other high-ranking Republicans who would later harm America, which is why he ranks lower.
  9. Harry Truman – For his continuation of building the foundation for the 20th century his predecessor built. He is ranked lower for his dropping of the bombs. He helped escalate the Cold War, but that’s a complicated issue.
  10. Joe Biden – He passed a stimulus at the beginning of his presidency, but didn’t enforce rules to end the pandemic, which became worse over his first year. Lost Afghanistan to the terrorists which led to it becoming the least free and most tyrannical place in the world. Infrastructure privatization under BIF. In 2022 he passed major legislation on climate change, codified same-sex marriage, rejoined the Paris agreement, and stood with our democratic allies in solidarity with Ukraine. If it wasn’t for the Afghanistan withdrawal, he would be in the top 5.
  11. George Washington – for his formation of treaties and respect for Native Americans. He ranks lower for signing the Fugitive Slave Act. He set standards and norms for the Presidency which made our country successful. He was masterful in his navigation of foreign relations which protected the United States from foreign invasion for our first 20 years.
  12. Warren G. Harding – for supporting the 8-hour work day, child labor laws, opposition to lynching, and good neighbor policy
  13. Thomas Jefferson – For his exploration of the American west, preserving trade in the Mediterranean, and diplomacy, ranks lower because of slavery.
  14. Ulysses S. Grant – For his continuation of Reconstruction and supporting equal rights. Corruption was rife in his cabinet.
  15. Theodore Roosevelt – For his valiant efforts in preserving America’s treasures and national parks, he is ranked lower for his interventions in Latin America.
  16. William McKinley – He advocated human rights at home and abroad. His high tariffs weakened America.
  17. Martin Van Buren – his cowardice in face of anti-Mormonism which he opposed demotes him, he kept peace with Mexico, advocated free trade, and opposed slavery
  18. Zachary Taylor – He attempted to set up the Western states as free states, despite being a slaveholder.
  19. Chester Alan Arthur – For his signing of the Pendleton Act which put rules against favors, he opposed Mormon polygamy (bad), opposed racism against the Chinese (good), and favored better relations with Native Americans.
  20. James Madison – he opposed the national bank which hurt our economy, he started the War of 1812 and protected Native American treaty rights.
  21. James Earl Carter – for his strong efforts towards peace around the world and attempts to gain energy independence for America. However, he signed the establishment of the NSA.
  22. James Monroe – He started the Seminole Wars, did the Missouri compromise meaning each slave state had to be matched with a free state, his expansionist Monroe doctrine,
  23. John Adams – His largest accomplishment was the Alien and Sedition Acts
  24. Bill Clinton – he passed no great laws and he signed the Commodities Futures Modernization Act, DOMA, and DADT, and failed to pass meaningful health care reform. But he balanced the budget and didn’t hurt Medicare, which prevents him from falling further. He was led by pollsters and didn’t lead, he followed.
  25. James K. Polk – He was extremely expansionist, was a slaveholder, and exacerbated tensions increasing the odds of war.
  26. Woodrow Wilson – For his breaking his promise on World War I, anti-German sentiment, and his support of the League of Nations keeps him from falling further.
  27. Gerald Ford – environmental regulations, strengthened AMTRAK, but he pardoned Nixon which set in motion future Republican extremism and set a precedent that the President is above the law.
  28. Grover Cleveland – He was racist, opposed labor rights, and was an imperialist
  29. Herbert Hoover – He was obsessed with the deficit, created protectionist policies, and had a limited response to the great depression.
  30. Calvin Coolidge – His small-government rhetoric and lack of leadership made his Presidency unsuccessful albeit popular. He is totally insignificant.
  31. William Howard Taft – He attacked President Roosevelt’s environmental policy
  32. Richard Nixon – EPA, improved relations with China, set up AMTRAK and worked against the Vietnam peace agreement which was treason. He entered the office and destroyed the economy with a deflationary monetary policy.
  33. John Tyler – His refusal to form a national bank in the face of an economic collapse drove America further into depression.
  34. Franklin Pierce – His unsuccessful compromise with the Kansas-Nebraska Act set the stage for the Civil War.
  35. Rutherford B. Hayes – He ended Reconstruction
  36. Andrew Johnson – He opposed Reconstruction.
  37. Millard Fillmore – He passed the Fugitive Slave Act
  38. James Buchanan – His unwillingness to use his power to keep the Union together led us into civil war.
  39. Andrew Jackson – His deportation of Native Americans, and his fiscal policy which crashed the economy make him one of the least successful presidents we will ever have.
  40. George H.W. Bush – For vetoing every good bill that came his way and using the United States military for his personal financial benefit (an oilman used the US military to defend a major oil exporter with dreadful human rights, I’m sure there is no conflict of interest.) He was corrupt to the core.
  41. Ronald Reagan – For negotiating with terrorists to hold Americans hostage until he was President, selling arms to Nicaraguan terrorists, attack on Grenada, and deregulation of the financial sector. As soon as he entered office he destroyed the economy with a deflationary economic policy. His negotiations with the Mujahideen in Afghanistan betrayed America, making his administration a literal state sponsor of terrorism. He created the highest inflation rate since World War II and the highest unemployment from 1950 to 2019. Utter disaster.
  42. Donald Trump – Made America’s tax code more regressive, had constant racist rhetoric, first President to restrict American travel to another country in decades, a trade war with China, and shut down the government because Democrats won’t give him everything he wants. He paused student loan payments, the only good thing out of his terrible presidency. Most of his policies except his tax code were done through an executive order, so
  43. George W. Bush – He attacked Iraq, and destabilized the financial markets, the PATRIOT ACT, No Child Left Behind Act, and the Real ID Act meant that he made a negative impact on America’s liberty, prosperity, and standing in the world for a longer period of time than any other President in American history. All of his major bills are still law to this very day.

In summary, we can rank our presidents into several basic bins:

The Great 9:

These are the Presidents who didn’t own slavery, improved human rights, and presided over strong economies. They made America great, and are the presidents who have made America the strongest country in the world. Lyndon Johnson, Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt, Kennedy, Obama, JQ Adams, Benjamin Harrison, Eisenhower, and Truman. It’s hard not to respect these Presidents for their service to our country.

Strong but flawed:

These presidents made America better, but not without serious flaws. Biden, Washington, Harding, Jefferson, Grant, Theodore Roosevelt, McKinley, Van Buren, Taylor, Arthur, Madison, Carter, Monroe, and John Adams.

Flawed presidents:

These Presidents had serious flaws which negated the good they did, but didn’t make things worse. Clinton, Polk, Wilson, Ford, Cleveland, Hoover, Coolidge, and Taft.

Crooks:

These Presidents made America weaker on the world stage and harmed either human rights or our economy: Nixon, Tyler, Pierce, Hayes, Andrew Johnson, Fillmore,

The irredeemable:

These Presidents were the worst Presidents we had, wither few if any accomplishments. These are the presidents who set the clock back: Buchanan, Andrew Jackson, George H.W. Bush, Reagan, Trump, George W. Bush

Brightline, is libertarian rail the future?

Brightline is stating that they will be able to expand service to Orlando next year. This will be the first time the rail operator has extended service outside of the Greater Miami Area. Libertarians and Republicans are looking at Brightline as a clear lesson of how the government is inefficient, bureaucratic, and messy, and how Florida under their savior Ron Desantis is going to show America how those dirty commies in California have everything backward with their high-speed rail fail.

Brightline today is nothing more than a commuter railroad in the Greater Miami Area. Let’s compare it to the statist Caltrain in the Socialist Republic of California to show how much better Brightline is than the despotic people’s line of Caltrain. Let us show the idiotic Californians how the future is of free markets and how free markets bring freedom!

Well, that’s what right-wing libertarians would like you to think. If we actually look at the reality on the ground, it is quite different from what has been portrayed so far.

Here are the facts about Brightline:

  • Brightline has raised over a billion dollars in bonds from investors to improve the railroad to Orlando.
  • Even before the pandemic, Brightline failed to meet its expectations for ridership on its high-demand route.

Here’s another interesting fact. Advocates of Brightline point out that the railroad cost $3 billion to build 46 miles of track between West Palm Beach and Miami. (CTPost) For comparison, California HSR has a $23.4 billion budget, which is going to build 520 miles of track. (Wikipedia)

I am unable to find solid data on Brightline’s operating statements. I would think that if they were profitable they would make that public in order to drive their bond rates down… but that’s just me.

Here is a summary table comparing Brightline to Caltrain and California HSR with the most up to date information I am able to find:

Caltrain Brightline California HSR
Morning routes (before 12) 14 7
Afternoon (12-5) 10 5
Evening routes 9 7
Total routes 33 19
Earliest departure 4:15 AM 6:45 AM
Latest departure 9:01 PM 11:45 PM
Ridership per day 18,600 3,534
Fare $9.95 $24.00
Speed (MPH) 79 79
Stations 31 3
Average speed (MPH) 26.3333333333333 46
Distance (miles) 77.2 46 520
Building cost $3,000,000,000.00 $23,400,000,000.00
Building cost per mile $65,217,391.30 $45,000,000.00

Draw your own conclusions.

References:

  • https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/business/2020/01/20/brightline-passenger-counts-revenue-remain-well-below-companyrsquos-own-projections/112219668/
  • https://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Getting-There-First-profitable-passenger-12627172.php
  • Wikipedia
  • www.caltrain.com
  • www.gobrightline.com

Safety precautions

It is interesting how the US will extend visas to NATO allies, violate human rights in our immigration prisons, and perform warrantless wiretaps, arguing that they keep this country safe, despite no evidence these actions keep us safe, and some evidence they actually make us less safe…

But we absolutely refuse to mandate vaccines in school, claiming otherwise our freedoms would be violated (but not when it comes to warrantless wiretaps) even though the evidence is excruciatingly clear that vaccines save lives.

Wikipedia Notability Policy

Wikipedia is definitely the most useful reference material ever created by people. It is the first and only encyclopedia to have truly global contributions, and I believe it is one of the greatest inventions in history.

That being said, there are people who want to trim it down because they want it to focus on things that they deem to be important. This starts looking silly on the surface and just looks sillier and sillier as we go down. I have a few ideas to refine Wikipedia policies to make it more robust and a stronger encyclopedia.

First of all, let’s talk about problems with the current deletionist policy:

Notable topics have attracted attention over a sufficiently significant period of time

This policy basically says that people shouldn’t be connected to a single event but multiple events. For example:

  1. Guy Fawkes
  2. John Wilkes Booth
  3. Charles Guiteau
  4. Leon Czolgosz
  5. Lee Harvey Oswald

These individuals should have their Wikipedia pages removed according to this official policy because they are only notable for single events in history. A sufficiently significant period of time is clearly a very poor indicator of if a person is notable. This policy is so misguided that even Wikipedia doesn’t follow its own deletionist guidelines because these 5 pages exist.

 

The basic requirement of independent third-party sources is a requirement for every sentence of the encyclopedia and needs to be kept.

Many of the notability guidelines directly conflict with the “sufficient period of time” rule. The sufficient period of time rule should be discarded.

 

Almost any guideline for deletion is going to have exceptions, so here is an idea for a proposal that will allow people like Lee Harvey Oswald to have Wikipedia pages but prevent people from using Wikipedia pages to create their own personal biographies without any notes.

  1. If an article is not an orphan, it cannot be deleted unless 10 independent active users with over 100 edits agree.
  2. If over 10 independent registered users have edited a Wikipedia page, it cannot be deleted.
  3. If an article has had an edit in the previous year, it cannot be deleted.
  4. If an article has a link from at least 20 other pages, it cannot be deleted. If all of its links were created by one user, this policy doesn’t apply, and it should be deleted immediately.

So, if you have a random article about a person with no significant impact on history, no one has edited it in over a year and is linked to by any other page, go ahead and delete it. But if the page has links from other pages, and it is regularly edited by multiple users, keep it in the encyclopedia.

 

This retention policy is fair and flexible and will work across any topic.

 

Wikipedia naming policy

Wikipedia should have a clear policy for how to name articles.

For example, if we were to only use the proper name as the title of articles, the following articles should be renamed:

  • The Commonwealth of Canada
  • The United States of America
  • The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
  • Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. (and most biographical articles should be named this way)
  • Dihydrogen monoxide

Sounds a bit silly, right? So a more reasonable naming policy should be to use the name which is already most commonly used in existing writing about a topic. Use only the first and last names of politicians generally, except when publications use their middle names. For basically any article pending a renaming, people considering a renaming should PROVE that another term is the more commonly used compared to what is currently used among scholarly or newspaper articles.

That being said, if an article is found to use names that are inherently biased to make the user doubt the existence of a topic (such as if one were to rename climate change “Global Warming Hoax”) even when an event is proven to exist in the article of the text, such a renaming should not occur. Moving articles to be labeled a “conspiracy theory” or a “hoax” should only be done when there is no sufficient proof an event actually occurred. If scholarly articles which refer to the topic do not refer to it as a conspiracy theory, neither should Wikipedia. The only things which should be labeled as a conspiracy theory should be things like the flat earth conspiracy, vaccine-autism connection conspiracy theory, and other ideas which are spread by people who wear tin foil hats.

On this, I agree with Wikipedia’s official naming policy full-heartedly and believe it should continue to be enforced by admins.

Why I chose a MacBook for my next computer

So I have been running several laptops for the last year or so. A friend gave me some surface books which he didn’t need, I have a Mac mini with an M1 processor, and a system76 Oryx Pro which has served me well for the last 5 years, but it isn’t as portable as it was when I bought it and the battery no longer can maintain a charge for as long as when I purchased it. The Surface Books don’t have very strong battery life, one of which is a standard laptop with an i5 processor which is basically a lap warmer, and the other one has an ARM processor, and its quite good honestly as a hybrid, but still has fairly abysmal battery life.

I also am going to get myself an iPad on contract with my phone carrier over the next couple of days.

So why I am going almost 100% Apple hardware? Well, a couple of reasons honestly.

First of all, Apple Silicon is extremely powerful without the power draw or heat of x86 CPUs. That is a very nice combination of features which I am a major fan of.

Second of all, again, the battery life of Apple Silicon is unparalleled in the market today. It is truly the best value available.

Third, the button placement of Microsoft Surface is absolutely atrocious. Apple puts their buttons one long edge, and one short edge. The Surface puts their buttons all over the place, so there is no short edge without a button, making it a major pain in the butt for setting up when I play music because I am either holding down the volume button or the power button. It is not useful for that purpose. Between the abhorrent button placement and the low battery life, the Surface just doesn’t seem like a good deal compared to the iPad. If Apple allowed users to load MacOS onto the iPad, it would be a Surface killer.

iPad has numerous advantages which makes me choose it over the competition. Android has such a short lifetime of support that it doesn’t fit my environmentalist desires. I have not bought a laptop in 5 years, and it is mostly because of declining battery life that I feel it is finally time for an upgrade. I don’t want to upgrade every 3 years, 5 years for me is a minimum unless if I am recycling unwanted computers. Android doesn’t fit this requirement for me. Apple’s hardware is just superior to the alternatives. The only thing the iPad is missing is the ability to port Linux to any older device, and while I know this is possible with newer iPads, it is not possible with the 2012 iPad which I have lying around. Yes, I know it is a 10 year old device, but the hardware still works, and if I could port Linux to it it would still be a useful device. Hopefully as time goes on Linux on iPad will continue to improve so I can port Linux to it.

So right now after looking at all the variables and options I could find, my needs were a laptop which I can easily travel with, which has a good CPU, a nice display, and enough RAM to fit my needs. The MacBook Air with the M2 processor appears to be the best deal on the market right now from what I can tell. I never seem to run out of RAM on my Mac mini, the only thing I might have added in was another 8 GB of RAM for 16 GB but I decided that given that I will need a good travel laptop in the near future. It was a tossup between the M1 Pro MacBook Pro and the M2 MacBook Air for me, and I decided to go with the MacBook Air over the M1 Pro MacBook Pro. Just make sure you get at least 512 GB of storage, because I have a Mac mini which I got at a steep discount at Costco last year, and you will run out of the 256 GB of storage in the base model very quickly. That right now is the big question I can see, is it worth spending more money for the M1 Pro chip or save a few hundred dollars to buy the M2 MacBook Air with 512 GB of storage. That is for you to decide. Either choice is going to give you an incredible amount of value for your money.

Japan, the king of libertarian rail

There is a lot of talk in libertarian circles about how everything would be better if we would privatize everything. Privatize the roads, privatize the railroads, privatize our electric grids, the government is inherently inefficient, and everything will be better.

Then they will inevitably point to Hong Kong (which Milton Friedman personally pointed to as a model for his vision) and Japan’s highly successful Shinkansen.

Let’s start with Japan, where the railroads are truly private. Well, first of all… Shinkansen was built in 1964 and its three most important routes were built before privatization. The lines which have been built by the private companies have been carrying far fewer people than the other lines.

But then there’s another kink in this entire philosophy, which can be found in the Railway Business Act of 1986

Article 7 (1) When the person who was granted a license of Railway Business (hereafter referred to as “Railway Business Operator”) intends to change the Basic Business Plan or the matters listed in item 8 or item 10, paragraph 1 of Article 4, the person shall obtain approval of the Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, provided, however, that this shall not apply to the minor changes prescribed by an ordinance of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism.

So much for economic freedom when a private business can’t even make a single service change without the government rubber-stamping it. But remember, this is the epitome of privatized rail in the world!

The other main case, and Milton Friedman’s favorite, is run by MTR Corporation Limited, which is 75% owned by the Hong Kong government and is able to completely control the decisions of the company. It’s organized more like Amtrak, far less like BNSF.

Pretty much every other country in the world with significant rail operations, with the exception of the US and Canada, has government-owned railroads.

Country population Area freight in billion tonne-km passengers in billion passenger-km tonne-km per capita passenger-km per capita tonne-km per km2 passenger-km per km2
Bangladesh 172,073,828 148460 7.3 0.00 42.42 0.00 49,171.49
Nigeria 211,401,000 923768 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Philippines 111,383,204 300000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pakistan 225,200,000 881913 6 20.3 26.64 90.14 6,803.39 23,018.14
Spain 47,450,000 505,992.00 10.30 27.50 217.07 579.56 20,356.05 54,348.69
Australia 25,000,000 7,692,024.00 198.00 15.70 7,920.00 628.00 25,740.95 2,041.08
Brazil 214,240,467 8,515,767 267 1,246.26 0.00 31,353.61 0.00
Romania 19,186,201 238397 10 5.9 521.21 307.51 41,946.84 24,748.63
Japan 125,000,000 377,976.00 21.00 431.80 168.00 3,454.40 55,559.08 1,142,400.58
France 68,000,000 543,940.00 31.80 110.50 467.65 1,625.00 58,462.33 203,147.41
Mexico 126,014,024 1964375 126.9 1,007.03 0.00 64,600.70 0.00
Italy 60,300,000 301,339.00 21.00 52.20 348.26 865.67 69,688.95 173,226.83
South Korea 51,700,000 100,210.00 10.00 77.80 193.42 1,504.84 99,790.44 776,369.62
United Kingdom 67,000,000 242,495.00 24.40 80.20 364.18 1,197.01 100,620.63 330,728.47
Russia 146,000,000 17,098,246.00 2,596.00 129.40 17,780.82 886.30 151,828.44 7,568.03
Poland 38,139,000 312696 53.8 22.1 1,410.63 579.46 172,052.09 70,675.67
India 1,300,000,000 3,287,263 739 1157 568.46 890.00 224,807.08 351,964.54
United States 325,000,000 9,833,517.00 2,326.00 10.60 7,156.92 32.62 236,537.95 1,077.95
Switzerland 8,570,000 41,284.00 11.00 20.80 1,283.55 2,427.07 266,447.05 503,827.15
China 1,400,000,000 9,596,961.00 3,018.00 1,471.00 2,155.71 1,050.71 314,474.55 153,277.69
Germany 80,000,000 357,114.00 113.00 95.50 1,412.50 1,193.75 316,425.57 267,421.61
Ukraine 41,000,000 603,500.00 237.00 37.10 5,780.49 904.88 392,709.20 61,474.73

Data from Wikipedia

If you graph this data, you will find that the US doesn’t lead the country in either total passengers carried or in terms of total freight carried. Switzerland and Germany both beat the US in terms of total passengers carried, when controlling for population and it looks like a lot of America’s tonne-km is because so much is carried such a long distance through the west I expect which inflates our value.

That dot at the very bottom of the graph? That’s the United States.

It appears from this data that well-run rail systems like what exists in most of the developed world successfully provide both high levels of freight and passenger rail.

Then there’s the small fact that China (fully government-controlled) carries more freight and passengers than the US.

So, in summary, Japan is only a good example of a free market for rail if you think a corporation that needs to get every major business decision cleared by the government counts as a free market, Hong Kong actually has no significant private transport, and every other major rail country in the world which has good passenger and freight rail has 100% public ownership of the tracks. In my opinion, a private company that needs to get every business decision cleared by the government and was originally established by the government mandating how they must spend their money isn’t really a good example of a private company. It’s more like a public corporation (eg MTR, Amtrak, or Deutsche Bahn) that just privatizes the profits. True private companies, like Google, Berkshire Hathaway, Mcdonald’s, and Walmart, don’t need to go get every decision they make cleared by a government committee. I don’t think the companies in JR Group count as truly private companies but are more structured as public companies with privatized profits. There is no denying these essentially government-controlled corporations which just give their profits to private shareholders who have little to no real power over the company do indeed provide one of the highest-quality rail systems in the world.

Private monopolies will indeed under serve and overcharge.

What Fascism looks like in reality

Fascism takes the form of whichever ideology at the time best enables their ideas. During the lead-up to Nazi Germany, they called themselves social. They made an alliance with the Soviet Union (because it was convenient) and it furthered their goal. They surrounded their rhetoric with vaguely socialist wording, while all the time their main goal was always the formation of a totalitarian state. They never cared about economics as long as they could kill other people.

I almost never quote Hitler, for many obvious reasons, but in this case, he described the economics of fascism so succinctly, there really is no one else I can quote which makes their economic policy so clear. When you want to learn something in social sciences… go to the source.

“The basic feature of our economic theory is that we have no theory at all” ~ Adolf freaking Hitler

Today in America, the fascist movement has taken over the Republican Party, they wrap a thin veil of libertarianism and anti-government, anti-tax hysteria, and how the government is “coming for your money” so you need to elect them to power for their “small government” of a police-state surveillance system, travel restrictions, all the while those who are in power can walk away with government money through tax breaks, subsidies, and government contracts.

 

This is the basic fact of the economics of fascism and why it is so hard to pinpoint fascism as right-wing or left-wing on the economics spectrum. It is truly a syncretic movement when it comes to economics, and extreme right-wing when it comes to social policy). You can go spend years of your life reading through complex economic texts talking about the economy of Nazi Germany… and if that’s your thing, go for it. But all you really need to know is what is in the already existing Wikipedia Article, Economics of fascism. When you read through this article you will find that very succinct quote by that butcher of millions Adolf Hitler. He didn’t care about economic ideology, he was just a bloodthirsty monster. When hiding money in Swiss Banks and buying goods from American megacorporations furthered his goal of exterminating as many Jews, Roma, and queers as possible, he did business with American and Swiss corporations. When he saw Stalin massacre 14 million Ukrainians with no regard for life in the 30s he had no misgivings or hesitation of allying with Russia to further his goals of invading Poland, which had been a relatively safe haven for Jews for several centuries up to that point in time. He didn’t care about the means, he only cared about killing people.

We find the same thing when it comes to the modern Republican party. For programs they view as giving money to people of color, they rail against those economic programs with calls for austerity. When it comes to sending more money to the military, which then sells military-grade weapons to police departments which then disproportionately use those weapons against people of color, the Republicans declare the excessive military spending which buys weapons that the military doesn’t even have room to store as mandatory spending. They are libertarians when it comes to helping poor people, and socialists when it comes to further bloating already extreme military budgets. The Republican Party doesn’t really have a succinct economic plan nowadays asides from killing brown people and is becoming syncretic.

They do not care about the deficit, they have not truly cared about inflation or unemployment in over 40 years, and they only care about reaping as much money in this country for their rich donors as possible.

The economic theory of the Republican party is that they really have no economic theory at all.

But their social policy becomes more and more right-wing every year. I see no end in sight to their radicalization.

The Standard Deduction is bad for Democrats

The Standard Deduction is bad for Democrats. The Standard Deduction gives Americans a choice… we can either deduct the standard deduction and then stop there, or we can choose to itemize our deductions one by one, but we don’t get the standard deduction if we choose to itemize.

So why is this bad for Democrats? Well, the reason is that Democratic states are more likely to support raising taxes like income taxes to support state programs and the SALT deduction cannot be used if you are using the standard deduction. I believe this minimization of the SALT deduction is the main reason Republicans doubled the Standard Deduction in 2018. This means that for most taxpayers we would be better off with a tax code that had a 0% tax rate on the first $50,000 of income and then be able to itemize the SALT deduction and other important deductions. Because of this, many deductions (such as the much-hated home mortgage interest deduction) cannot be used by many households until they are paying enough in home mortgage interest and state taxes over the course of the year to be greater than the Standard Deduction. This means for many middle-class Americans, the standard deduction means they pay more tax than they would otherwise. For the vast majority of taxpayers, the current system vastly underperforms a tax code with no standard deduction but no taxes paid on the first $50,000 of income for this reason.

The standard deduction is also very unequal in how it impacts the tax bill of people who use it. Let’s take a taxpayer who earns $30,000 a year, or a full-time $15 per-hour job. This person will pay around $2,970.40 in total federal taxes in our current system or 17% of their income. Removing the standard deduction and exempting the first $50k of income from the income tax means they pay only $1,860, basically only payroll tax into Social Security. For very high-income taxpayers who make $200k (assuming as a single individual) they see their tax rates drop from $26% to 20% (assuming no other changes) and for the ultra-wealthy taxpayer who makes $500k, their tax rate changes from 31% to 29%. Basically, replacing the standard deduction with 0% tax on the first $50k makes the biggest impact on the tax paid for low-income taxpayers. This would permanently benefit 99% of Americans. Unlike Republican tax cuts in the past, this change would be permanent.

This would cost the Federal government some money, but I would pay for it by reinstating the 70% tax rate for people who make over $1,000,000 per year, a 50% tax bracket on people who make over $500k, and 60% on people who make over $750k. 99% of Americans will never be impacted by this change. This would be the biggest shift in the tax burden for the working and middle classes in history. In exchange for this higher tax rate for the uber-wealthy, I would also remove the cap for the SALT tax deduction. On top of this, I would also tax capital gains as regular income which would mean retirees with IRA plans will benefit from the tax holiday on the first $50k of income they make. This compromise should make this entire tax swap deficit neutral if not even cut the deficit altogether while also putting money into working Americans’ and retirees’ pockets.

Another major impact of this will be how then how every American will have access to the IRA deduction, whereas people who take the standard deduction have no access to it. This is one of the simplest ways the Federal government can boost America’s savings rate, by making it so everyone has access to that critical deduction.

In short, this is a plan which will enable state governments to fund much-needed programs, reduce taxes on 99% of Americans, and also reduce the Federal deficit.

Student loan forgiveness

We are seeing a very dangerous precedent right now with the court case to undo student loan forgiveness. There are three main parts to this case that are very critical:

  1. Laws don’t have to help everyone equally. Medicare for All is basically the only policy in that basket.
  2. Bailouts are part of the American fabric.
  3. The courts are nullifying clearly established law.

Equal access problems

So for the first part, if everything has to apply to everyone equally, then hurricane relief in Florida is unconstitutional. Federal subsidies for gas exploration in Texas are unconstitutional. Federal subsidies which prevent the South from falling into complete misery are unconstitutional. Federal subsidies which clean up coal mines in Kentucky and West Virginia are unconstitutional. They don’t impact me, so they are unconstitutional based on this Supreme Court’s logic.

Federal laws don’t have to apply equally to every person or every county in order to be constitutional. That has never been the case and is complete legal bogus. I doubt the Supreme Court will apply this new legal doctrine to all of these programs which benefit Republican states. That makes it not a doctrine but just an activist Supreme Court.

Unethical bailout argument

The whole argument that everyone needs to pull their own weight is antithetical to one of the main reasons our Constitution was written in the first place. By being together in one country we are able to pull each other up in times of need, and this has been the core of American democracy since 1787. This means that reconstruction would be unconstitutional under this argument. The Tennessee Valley Authority is now unconstitutional. FEMA is now unconstitutional and Florida now needs to be self-reliant and stop taking Federal aid when they get hit by hurricanes. If New Orleans is getting flooded than either Louisiana gets to pay to rebuild the dikes or rebuild New Orleans somewhere else. Same goes for Houston. These states need to stop taking Federal Aid because they don’t build their cities in ways which are resiliant to hurricanes if they are so opposed to bailouts. What about the PPP forgiveness program which gave billions of dollars to mostly rich bankers who then gambled the money on wall street? All of these programs are unconstitutional under the unethical bailout argument.

The pure hypocrisy of this one is just amazing. The Supreme Court has never before had any problem with giving a bailout to anyone. But as soon as it is student loan forgiveness, a program which is far more progressive than most of the other bailouts we have seen over the last decade they are up in arms about “ethics”.

Nullification

Congress spent this money, and they clearly put in a section of the law clearly stating that student loan forgiveness is legal.

The Supreme Court is nullifying a section of the US Code without any clear argument about why it violates the Constitution. Any section which they say violates this section will likely be just as easily used to nullify PPP loan forgiveness or FEMA saving Florida yet again the next time a hurricane hits. Student loan forgiveness is constitutional, which is why the Supreme Court shouldn’t make this ridiculous argument without opening up a massive can of worms about the supreme court’s legitimacy. If the Supreme Court can just strike down any law without any merit or real argument, it has become the most powerful branch of government, unaccountable, and dangerous.

 

What it really comes down to is the Republican Party is unable to win a majority of the vote in the modern American party system. They are legislating from the bench because that’s all they can do.