RealLifeLore released a video yesterday on Nebula describing the intricacies of Maduro threatening to annex most of Guyana’s territory.
I believe this is part of a general strategy to distract from Ukraine.
First, let’s start with the catalyst for the recent increase in armed conflicts around the world, the refusal of NATO to let Ukraine and Georgia in as members in 2008. Most Ukrainians opposed joining NATO then, and their application was blocked along with Georgia’s application. Regardless, it was a mistake and Russia invaded Georgia only a few months later.
In 2014 the Russian Invasion of Ukraine happened following the Euromaidan. With no security guarantees, Ukraine lost control of Crimea and parts of Luhansk and Donetsk.
After President Obama made it clear Russia could not invade further, the war softened to a stalemate for the next 8 years.
But in 2020 Trump signed a treaty with the Taliban to give them control over Afghanistan. Biden recognized this agreement, although it was not legally binding since it had never been ratified by Congress, and on 30 August 2021, the United States and our allies withdrew from Afghanistan. Biden then made a speech on how the United States would focus on our problems at home instead of problems abroad.
Putin heard this speech and further invaded Ukraine 6 months later. NATO has provided support to Ukraine, but not enough to allow them to fully repel the Russian invaders. Constantly fretting about letting the war escalate in order to not “provoke” Putin has become this generation’s “peace in our time” refrain.
Putin is a fascist on par with Mussolini. He has labor camps for North Koreans, murders all political dissidents, and invades neighbors as Hitler did with the Sudentenland. The players on the side of freedom are divided among those of us who believe we must defend our allies with as much force as Roosevelt did, those who support the fascist invader as Prescott Bush did, and those who want to compromise as Chamberlain did. I believe our response to the invasion of Ukraine needs to be as resolute as Roosevelt’s response to Pearl Harbor, but before we witness an attack on NATO territory.
Over the last year Ukraine has made some small advances against Russia, and Russia has not had any territorial gains in well over a year. The United States has been debating about increasing aid to Ukraine and Hamas made an attack against Israel in October in order to prevent that aid passage from going through. Doing this undermined those negotiations. Israel further undermined the possibility of the US sending much needed aid to Ukraine by attacking every civilian target in Gaza imaginable, which has delayed the shipment of much needed arms and ammunition to Ukraine.
I believe this is deliberate given how the Israeli government has been increasing ties to Russia and has been the only major “ally” of the US and NATO to not provide any assistance to Ukraine, despite the fact that Ukraine is the only other country in the world to have a Jewish President and Prime Minister. So much for Israel being a Jewish State. That has now been wholly debunked. If the purpose of Israel was to be a safe haven for Jews and strength of the Jewish people, they would be supporting Ukraine. Netanyahu has absolutely destroyed all credibility of his government.
Questions on whether the US is a reliable partner is now substantially increasing across the world given the events in Afghanistan and Ukraine. Republicans routinely either praise or hesitate to condemn Putin. The Republican noise machine now has convinced 44% of Republicans that we should reduce aid to Ukraine.
It is not a big leap of logic to see how the Israeli government creating a humanitarian crisis in Gaza while refusing to allow Palestinians to enter refugee camps outside of Gaza as they take out Hamas installations is counter productive to their nation’s security. It also is not hard to see how the timing of this offensive while we have a massive debate on whether to send more arms to Ukraine is particularly convenient for Netanyahu’s buddy Vladimir Putin. There is definitely collusion to undermine NATO. Undermining NATO is a direct attack on the United States.
Despite the delays in ammunition shipments Ukraine continues to beat Russia on the battlefield due to better training and more modern military equipment. If we provide the Free People of Ukraine with the aid they need so they can repel the Fascist Russian Horde from their territory, it will send a clear message that Democracies are protected, and future invasions of Free Nations will not be tolerated.
If we do not send aid to Ukraine it will show that America’s resolve is weak. Our institutions fail by giving too much power to the minority, just as our institutions failed Ukraine and Georgia back in 2008 when they applied for membership. It will bolster anti-NATO and anti-American attitudes. It will strenghten plutocrats. It will weaken American national security. The value of NATO will decline. Countries will see no point in joining and we will see more countries leave the European Union.
American national security is in ensuring we do not have more humanitarian crises like have happened in Afghanistan, Gaza, and Ukraine. It is paramount that we do everything we can to show state sponsors of terrorism like Saudi Arabia and Qatar that we will defend ourselves and our allies. We must show tyrants like Putin that if they invade democracies that we will help the defender. It is critical for the security of Taiwan and South Korea. As China watches the United States waffle on whether we will support Ukraine they are wondering how much resolve we will have in defending Taiwan. This is why China is building its military today. North Korea wonders if now is the time to attack South Korea.
If Ukraine goes, so will Guyana, Georgia, South Korea, and Taiwan.
Those five countries will only be the beginning. Russian hostilities with Sweden and other countries will increase if we see a decline in the perception of US power. Russian support of politicians like Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, David Cameron, and Victor Orban will increase. If we are perceived as weak and Ukraine loses, we will likely end up with more conflicts than NATO can respond to in reasonable time. That is the worst case scenario.
We are seeing domino theory in real time right now with the situations in Afghanistan, Ukraine, Israel/Palestine, and threats against Guyana. Domino theory was not created by the US government, it was official Soviet policy, and it remains official Russian policy today. “We Will Bury You” was a promise. We are seeing a repeat of the Soviet takeovers of Poland, Czechoslovakia, Romania, and Hungary today in response to our withdrawal from Afghanistan. The series of invasions and coups which occured in the 1940s is why NATO was created, to protect against future invasions by the Red Army. Putin sees our withdrawal from Afghanistan as a retreat, and he is happy to oblige and repeat history.
We must defend Ukraine and demonstrate that the free world will not be bullied by tyrants. That is the only way to ensure peace and freedom around the world given the situation we have today.
All of this could have been avoided if Biden had simply sent the document Trump wrote with the terrorists to congress where it would have failed to gain support. All of this could have been avoided if we had just given Ukraine and Georgia NATO membership in 2008. But we made the wrong decision in both of those cases, and now we have to deal with the consequences.
Chamberlain was wrong, and so are the people who are arguing we should not support Ukraine. Ukraine has never provided aid to terrorist groups like Israel did with Hamas in the 1980s. Ukraine does not negotiate with terrorists like Israel did with Hamas only two years ago. The two could not be more different.
Putin will stop at the same point where Hitler stopped because they think the same way. He will go as far as Stalin did if we let him. The only way to defeat a fascist is to completely overpower them.
We must defend our allies and hold them close to us diplomatically to show tyrants everywhere that our freedom is what makes us strong and fascism will always lose.
Slava Ukraine.