Middle Eastern politics is a clusterfuck

Yes, these charts look crazy, but the situation is crazy.

Alliances:

  • European Union – Israel – United States: US has NATO with most of the European Union, both have deep relations with Israel.
  • Iran – Russia: Support each other in every possible way.
  • Iran – Hamas: Historically provided a significant amount of support.
  • Palestine – European Union: Most of the European Union supports Palestinian statehood.
  • Russia – Israel: Israel has not sanctioned Russia, nor supplied Ukraine with any assistance.

Complicated:

  • Russia – Hamas: Read the Wikipedia article
  • Israel – Hamas: Go between supporting them in order to undermine Palestine to total war.
  • United States – Russia: Sanctions are slow and restrictions on Ukraine to strike Russia.
  • European Union – Russia: Sanctions are slow and restrictions on Ukraine to strike Russia.

Every other relationship is pure hatred.

I need to state why I believe Russia is hostile to Palestine. Russia used to support Palestine in the Cold War, but Lavrov has compared Israel’s campaign in Gaza with Russia’s campaign in Ukraine, and I hate to say it, but I have to agree with Lavrov here. The goal is the same, just he wasn’t exactly honest about what their goal is. I hate saying it, but the worst person in the world told the truth for once.

The rest of the hostilities are obvious.

The only word in my vocabulary to describe the situation in the Middle East is that it is a complete and total clusterfuck.

It will remain a clusterfuck until diplomacy resumes.

 

Will Israel’s destruction of Iran’s military be beneficial in the long run? Probably not. Russia will still support the Ayatollah as long as possible, so Israel’s strikes on Iran will have no impact on the regime. Russia produces Shahed drones domestically, so striking Iran does not help Ukraine. It could even hurt Ukraine since pushing up oil prices in response to this war will improve Russia’s war chest, making it easier for them to purchase the necessary factor inputs needed to run their wartime economy. This is all according to the Kyiv Independent. There is no upside to this new conflict, only downsides.

There is no military solution to the war in the Middle East.

The Israeli strike on Iran ironically helps Russia. It will not topple the Ayatollah. As long as Putin survives the intense propaganda supporting fascists across NATO will continue. As long as Putin is alive, Ukraine and Georgia will be in danger. As long as Putin is alive he will continue to back the Ayatollah. As long as Netanyahu is in power, Israel will continue to be the preferred laundromat for Russian money.

The only solution to the Israeli-Palestinian war is diplomacy and the granting of Israeli citizenship to every Palestinian, as I have already outlined in this post.

The only solution to the Ukrainian war is complete victory with Ukraine regaining all of their territory as defined by 1991 borders. Then they must join NATO, and Putin will fall.

Once Ukraine has won the war, Georgian Dream will lose its support from Russia and Georgians will take back their country.

Once Ukraine has won the war, Iran will lose its support from Moscow, triggering a revolution.

With the lack of constant propaganda coming out of Russia the support for right-wing politicians across the democratic world will end, and we can go back to sanity.

Once Israel stops its war, Netanyahu will go to trial and certainly be arrested. If Israel signs a treaty with Palestine ending the statelessness of Palestinians, then and only then, will there be a chance for peace.

But this attack on Iran is not going to help the democratic world, as the experts at Kyiv Independent make as clear as day.

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